Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.293819 0.343631 0.396300 0.455851 0.521027 0.589920 0.667976
2025-01-12 0.218037 0.284696 0.360012 0.450242 0.554257 0.669333 0.805199
2025-01-19 0.170797 0.247986 0.340744 0.457640 0.598332 0.759718 0.956343
2025-01-26 0.138224 0.222447 0.329671 0.470999 0.647427 0.855870 1.116225
2025-02-02 0.113298 0.201868 0.321019 0.484605 0.695440 0.950838 1.276456
2025-02-09 0.088241 0.176169 0.301704 0.481419 0.720465 1.017068 1.402580
2025-02-16 0.071947 0.160021 0.292793 0.489925 0.759192 1.099934 1.549729
2025-02-23 0.056213 0.141314 0.277443 0.487375 0.781899 1.161889 1.671061
2025-03-02 0.040253 0.118150 0.252010 0.467614 0.779178 1.189644 1.748454
2025-03-09 0.032200 0.107603 0.244798 0.473181 0.810459 1.261526 1.882539
2025-03-16 0.023503 0.092982 0.228660 0.463469 0.818962 1.302461 1.976439
2025-03-23 0.020111 0.089355 0.230985 0.482141 0.868202 1.398614 2.143456
2025-03-30 0.015050 0.079907 0.221845 0.482289 0.891034 1.460323 2.267655
2025-04-06 0.011134 0.071763 0.213932 0.483612 0.915265 1.524143 2.395469
2025-04-13 0.008788 0.067279 0.212561 0.495551 0.955516 1.610693 2.554757
2025-04-20 0.007150 0.064376 0.213979 0.512091 1.002931 1.707784 2.729219
2025-04-27 0.005746 0.061527 0.215075 0.527911 1.049410 1.804080 2.903580
2025-05-04 0.003833 0.054717 0.206301 0.525369 1.066818 1.858982 3.021864
2025-05-11 0.002793 0.051122 0.204336 0.534862 1.103178 1.941314 3.178424
2025-05-18 0.001704 0.045447 0.196340 0.532437 1.120091 1.995494 3.296461
2025-05-25 0.000697 0.037029 0.179478 0.511634 1.106090 2.003889 3.350543
2025-06-01 0.000384 0.034049 0.176561 0.517631 1.135972 2.076886 3.495300
2025-06-08 0.000112 0.028826 0.165988 0.507374 1.138157 2.108538 3.581976